The future climate for development presents four vivid scenarios exploring how low-income countries could respond to climate change over the next 20 years. They have been brought to life in four short animations.
The scenarios look at the profound social, economic, political and psychological changes climate change may bring as well as its environmental impacts. They are designed as a practical tool for anyone concerned with the future of low-income countries. Click here for more information on the project or download the report for more detail on each scenario and how they were constructed.
The animations are also available to be downloaded and used on third party websites provided they are used with full credits and not edited in any way.
Reversal of Fortunes
Reversal of Fortunes is a world where many of the low-income countries of the 2010s have rapidly developed – mostly on carbon-intensive pathways – and are now middle-income. But a stronger voice on the world stage is not enough to grant immunity from the impacts of a world urgently decarbonising its economy: these new emerging economies are the least resilient and are suffering the most.
Age of Opportunity Age of Opportunity is a world in which cultural confidence in low-income countries is high. They play a growing role in the world economy and are spearheading a low-carbon energy revolution, leapfrogging the old high-carbon technologies in pursuit of a prosperous and clean future.
Coping Alone
Coping Alone is a world in which low-income countries feel increasingly abandoned by a global community preoccupied with high oil prices, economic stagnation and simmering conflict. Regional blocs now focus on their own concerns, such as food security, resource shortages and adapting to climate change.
The Greater Good The Greater Good is a world where people understand that economies rely fundamentally on access to natural resources – and climate change is seen as the ultimate resource crunch. States manage natural resources pragmatically to give the greatest good for the greatest number. Those low-income countries with natural resources prosper; those without have little bargaining power.
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